Three Financial Reasons To Buy A Home Now
See also: 3 Reasons to Sell Your House Today!
Part I
Prices Are Rising at an Accelerated Rate
The
price of a home is the major consideration when deciding whether or not
it makes financial sense to
purchase a house. Experts are not only projecting that house values
will increase in 2013. They are also more optomistic in the level of
appreciation they are projecting as the market begins to heat up. Here
are some examples:
The Home Price Expectation Survey
The
latest survey of a nationwide panel of 118 economists, real estate
experts and investment and market strategists reveals they project home
values to end 2013
up an average of 4.6% according to the first quarter. This is after they had projected a 3.1% increase just three months ago.
Bank of America
In a report titled, Someone Say House Party?, Bank of America analysts revised their projections upward:
“Home
prices continue to show momentum amid shrinking inventory and record
high affordability, prompting us to revise up our original forecast of
4.7% for home prices this year. We now expect national home prices, as
defined by the S&P Case Shiller home
price index, to increase 8% this year.”
Capital Economics
According to
a report in
DSNews,
Capital Economics also upgraded their prediction:
“Strong
demand and tight inventory have brought existing home sales back to
‘normal’ levels, and further gains are possible, according to the latest
market report from Capital Economics. Additionally, market conditions
may prompt lenders to “loosen the
purse strings slightly” and lend a little more freely.
These conditions, combined with broader economic indicators, lead
Capital Economics to revise its previous forecast of a 5% price gain
this year
up to 8%.”
Morgan Stanley
In an
article from
HousingWire,
Morgan Stanley joined the party:
“Strong momentum in home prices as well as housing activity gave Morgan Stanley analysts enough confidence to
upgrade their home price appreciation projections to roughly 7% (from 5%) for 2013, according to its latest global securitized credit report…
“The
momentum in most metrics of housing activity is running well ahead of
the pace we had expected,” said James Egan, Jose Cambronero and
Vishwanath Tirupattur, analysts for Morgan Stanley.”
Not only are prices projected to
appreciate. Experts are actually revising their projections upward as
demand maintains its momentum.
Part II
Interest Rates Are Increasing

A big component in the cost of a home is the mortgage interest rate a purchaser pays.
Understanding where rates are headed will help in making a decision whether to buy now or wait.
So, Where Are Rates Headed?
No one can know for sure. The Fed
has been artificially holding rates down to stimulate the economy.
However, as the economy improves, many experts expect rates to creep up.
As an example,
HSH Associates, the nation’s largest publisher of mortgage and consumer loan information, recently explained:
“The
stronger the economy becomes, the higher rates may grind; the Federal
Reserve is keeping them low to goose the economy, but an economy
responding to the Fed’s medicine will soon see less of a need for it in
order to function. If not otherwise manipulated,
higher rates are the natural result of a growing economy, as rising
demand for available credit supply and concerns about inflation allow
costs to rise.”
The
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) agrees. They were quoted in
HousingWire late last year regarding their thoughts on where rates would be headed in 2013.
“After reaching record lows in 2012, mortgage rates are expected
to creep up slowly in 2013, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted.”
In the MBA’s latest
Mortgage Finance Forecast they forecast that the 30 year
interest rate will be 4.3% by the end of the year. This represents an
increase of almost a full percentage point from the 3.4% rate available
at the end of 2012.

For example, we show the impact a one percent increase in rate will have on the
monthly principal and interest payment on a $200,000 mortgage.
As we mentioned,
no one knows for sure where rates will be a year from now. But, many experts think they may be as much as a point higher. With
rising residential real estate prices and the possibility of higher mortgage rates, waiting to buy a home makes no sense in our opinion.
Part III
Rents Are Skyrocketing

Whether
you own or rent, you will have a monthly housing expense. The question
is how that expense will change in the future. When you purchase a home,
for the most part, you lock-in that monthly housing expense for the
length of the mortgage you take (15 or 30 years
for example). When you rent a home, your housing expense is impacted by
movements in the supply and demand for rental properties.
Historically, residential rental
rates increase by 3.2% on an annual basis. However, in the current
housing environment, there is an increasing demand for residential
rental properties. This increase in demand has dramatically impacted
rates.
Zillow, in their most recent
report, revealed that rental rates in the U.S. increased by 4.5%
over the last twelve months. Other studies have projected rental rate
increases of 4-5% over the next few years.
The only way to have control of your housing expense is to buy.
But Isn’t Buying Much More Expensive Than Renting?
Not
right now! As a matter of fact, with prices down and mortgage rates at
historic lows, it is LESS EXPENSIVE to buy than rent in most areas. In a
recent
report,
Trulia revealed it is cheaper to buy than rent in ALL of America’s largest regions.
According to Jed Kolko, Trulia’s Chief Economist:
“People
who didn’t buy a home last year may have missed the bottom of the
market, but they haven’t completely missed the boat. Buying remains
cheaper than renting in all 100 large metros. Even buyers who can’t get
today’s lowest mortgage rates will still
find that buying makes more financial sense than renting in nearly all
local markets.”
However, Kolko went on to say that this opportunity may soon disappear:
“Although
buying a home is still cheaper than renting, the gap is closing. In
2013, home prices should rise faster than rents, and mortgage rates are
likely to rise in the next year as the economy improves. By next year,
buying could be more expensive
than renting in some housing markets, even for people with the best
credit.”
Again, the only way to lock-in
your monthly housing expense is to take that decision out of the hands
of a landlord by owning. With both prices and interest rates set to
increase, the best time to buy is right now.